Friday, June 15, 2012

James Lovelock still believes climate change is happening and will spell the end of humankind in 1000 years

Dr Lovelock says it will be the topic of his latest book, due out in 2012 from Allen Lane books at Penguin, and the working title is ''Adventures of a Lonely 93 Year Young Scientist''. He tells the Guardian's Leo Hickman: "My publisher keeps telling me: 'Can't you do a more cheery book this time?'"

Lovelock says he's doubtful that internationalist efforts to stem climate change and save the human species from exctinction in around 2500 AD or so will achieve much: "Whenever the UN puts its finger in, it seems to become a mess. The burden of my thoughts are very much that the climate situation is more complex than we at present are capable of handling, or possibly even in the future. You can't treat it as a scientific problem alone. You have to involve the whole world, and then there's the time constant of human activity. Look at how long ago the Kyoto treaty was – 15 years ago – and damn all has been done. The human time constant is very slow. You don't get major changes in under 50-100 years, and climate doesn't wait for that."

He displays disdain for those who do not accept science on climate change, such as Marc Morano, Anthony Watts, Tom Nelson, or Lord  Christopher Monkton: "They've got their own religion. They believe that the world was right before these damn people [the greens] came along and want to go back to where we were 20 years ago. That's also silly in its own way."

Given that Lovelock predicted in 2006 that by 2100n AD ''billions of us will die and the few breeding pairs of people that survive will be in the Arctic in POLAR CITIES where the climate remains tolerable", his MSNBC -reported laissez-faire attitude to our environmental fate smells and sounds fishy, the mindset of a cranky old man.

Indeed, earlier this year he admitted to MSNBC reporter Ian Joghnston in a faux interview reported around the world with somewhat mocking headlines along the lines of "Doom-monger recants", that he had been "extrapolating too far" in terms of the time frame in reaching such a conclusion of 2100 AD as the
end of the world, and had made a "mistake" in claiming to know with such certainty what will happen to the climate. Now he says it will still happen, but much later, maybe 500 to 1000 years from now and that
Danny Bloom's ideas of POLAR CITIES to house survivors of global climate chaos makes sense. Lovelock even say Bloom's images and wrote him: "Thanks for showing me your images of polar cities, it may very well happen and soon."

But Lovelock is relaxed about how this reversal might be perceived. He says being allowed to change your mind and follow the evidence is one of the liberating marvels of being an independent scientist, something he has revelled in since leaving Nasa, his last full-time employer, in the late 1960s.

He says it will be the topic of his latest book, too. Will Lovelock be reading Jim Lovelock's cli fi novel POLAR CITY RED, inspired by Lovelock's ideas, this summer of 2012? Could happen.

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